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Extension of the heat health warning system by indoor heat prediction

  • The German Weather Service (DWD) releases a heat warning, when the weather forecast provides a warm, humid, sunny, and windless weather condition during the next days. The heat stress is calculated by the so called Klima-Michel model. If the apparent air temperature exceeds ca. 32°C / 38°C, there is a strong / extreme heat stress. The smallest forecast area is each administrative district. AsThe German Weather Service (DWD) releases a heat warning, when the weather forecast provides a warm, humid, sunny, and windless weather condition during the next days. The heat stress is calculated by the so called Klima-Michel model. If the apparent air temperature exceeds ca. 32°C / 38°C, there is a strong / extreme heat stress. The smallest forecast area is each administrative district. As people (and especially the vulnerable population) stay most of the time indoors, the heat health warning system was extended by the prediction of heat stress in typical rooms. Therewith it is feasible to forecast the heat stress using a combination of the outdoor and indoor heat stress. The prediction for the indoor heat stress is based on the same weather forecast like the Heat Health Warning Systems (HHWS).and calculates the heat stress by the PMV-model (predicted mean vote). Based on a sophisticated data analysis and simulation study, realistic but summer-critical living situations were defined and implemented in the building simulation program ESP-r. As the simulation runs especially for extreme weather conditions, a simplified building model cannot be used. Standardized input/output routines and an adaptive handover of start values provide for short run times for each forecast area. Good building designs and urban planning provide effective measures to reduce heat stress in cities. However, we have to also pay attention to the present building stock under climate change and a higher heat-wave risk. The extended German HHWS provide information for the emergency services to support the social assistants during heat waves.show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Document Type:Conference Proceeding
Conference Type:Konferenzartikel
Zitierlink: https://opus.hs-offenburg.de/811
Bibliografische Angaben
Title (English):Extension of the heat health warning system by indoor heat prediction
Conference:Climate and Constructions : International Conference (2011.10.24-25 : Karlsruhe, Germany)
Author:Jens PfafferottStaff MemberORCiDGND, Christina Koppe, Christian Reetz
Year of Publication:2011
Place of publication:Karlsruhe
Publisher:KIT Scientific Publishing
First Page:15
Last Page:26
Parent Title (English):Climate and Constructions : International Conference 24 and 25 October 2011, Karlsruhe, Germany / Competence Area "Earth and Environment"
Editor:Andreas Gerdes, Christoph Kottmeier, Andreas Wagner
ISBN:978-3-86644-876-6
DOI:https://doi.org/10.5445/KSP/1000028785
URL:http://digbib.ubka.uni-karlsruhe.de/volltexte/1000028785
Language:English
Inhaltliche Informationen
Institutes:Fakultät Maschinenbau und Verfahrenstechnik (M+V)
Institutes:Bibliografie
Formale Angaben
Open Access: Open Access 
Licence (German):License LogoUrheberrechtlich geschützt