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Forecast accuracy measures for micro-grid operation

  • This paper focuses on appropriately measuring the accuracy of forecasts of load behavior and renewable generation in micro-grid operation. Common accuracy measures like the root mean square of the error are often difficult to interpret for system design, as they describe the mean accuracy of the forecast. Micro-grid systems, however, have to be designed to handle also worst case situations. ThisThis paper focuses on appropriately measuring the accuracy of forecasts of load behavior and renewable generation in micro-grid operation. Common accuracy measures like the root mean square of the error are often difficult to interpret for system design, as they describe the mean accuracy of the forecast. Micro-grid systems, however, have to be designed to handle also worst case situations. This paper therefore suggests two error measures that are based on the maximum function and that better allow understanding worst case requirements with respect to balancing power and balancing energy supply.show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Document Type:Conference Proceeding
Conference Type:Konferenzartikel
Zitierlink: https://opus.hs-offenburg.de/2217
Bibliografische Angaben
Title (English):Forecast accuracy measures for micro-grid operation
Conference:2015 International Conference on Smart Grid and Clean Energy Technologies, 20-23 October 2015, Offenburg, Germany
Author:Michael SchmidtStaff MemberORCiDGND, Oliver Mayer
Year of Publication:2016
Publisher:IEEE
First Page:176
Last Page:179
Parent Title (English):2015 International Conference on Smart Grid and Clean Energy Technologies : ICSGCE 2015
ISBN:978-1-4673-8734-7 (Elektronisch)
ISBN:978-1-4673-8732-3 (Print)
ISBN:978-1-4673-8731-6 (CD)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSGCE.2015.7454292
Language:English
Inhaltliche Informationen
Institutes:Fakultät Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik (E+I) (bis 03/2019)
Institutes:Bibliografie
Tag:Haustechnik; Smart Grid
Formale Angaben
Open Access: Closed Access 
Licence (German):License LogoUrheberrechtlich geschützt