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A former remote area power supply was converted to a smart cogeneration subnet with combined heat and power to develop and validate a forecast based energy management at the University of Applied Sciences in Offenburg/Germany. Locally processed weather forecasts and forecasted demand profiles are integrated to allow a precise reaction to changes of fluctuating power sources, changes in scheduled demand profiles and to improve the energy efficiency of the supply. The management of the electrical and thermal storages is influenced by the forecasted energy contributions and the forecasted demand. Further approaches should improve the accuracy of forecasting algorithms and integrate parameter models gained of a detailed monitoring to realize predictive controllers.
Meeting the requirements of smart grids local, decentralized subnets will offer additional potentials to stabilize and compensate the utility grid mainly on the low voltage level. In a quite complex configuration these decentralized energy systems are combined power, heat and cooling power distributions. According to the regional and local availability of renewable energy sources advanced energy management concepts should consider climatic conditions as well as the state of the interacting utility grid and consumption profiles. The approach uses demonstrational setups to develop a forecast based energy management for trigeneration subnets by taking into account the running conditions of local electrical and thermal energy conversion units. This should lead to the best coverage of the demand and supporting/stabilizing the utility grid at the same time. For the first of three demonstrational projects the priorities of the subnet are given with the maximization of the CHP operation to substitute a major part of the heating and cooling power delivered by electric heaters or compression chillers.